BTC Price Returns to $100K: Key Factors Behind the Recent Dip

·

The Bitcoin (BTC) price has once again crossed the psychological $100,000 threshold, currently trading at $103,054. This recovery comes after a brief dip below $99,000 to $99,108, marking a volatile 24-hour period where BTC reached a high of $103,371 and a low of $97,777 — a price swing of 5.72%. While the rebound signals resilience in the market, the 4% daily drop reflects ongoing uncertainty. As the flagship cryptocurrency continues to dominate digital asset conversations, its movements are closely watched by investors, institutions, and financial analysts alike.

👉 Discover how institutional moves are shaping the next BTC surge.

Institutional Confidence: MicroStrategy’s Bold Move

One of the most influential developments in recent days has been the renewed buying activity by MicroStrategy, a company long bullish on Bitcoin. Between January 21 and January 26, 2025, the firm deployed approximately $1.1 billion to acquire around 10,107 BTC at an average price of $105,596 per coin. This strategic purchase occurred just as BTC dipped below $100,000, reinforcing confidence in its long-term value.

Despite entering at a relatively high price point, MicroStrategy’s CEO Michael Saylor reiterated the company's unwavering belief in Bitcoin as a digital store of value and economic hedge. He emphasized that BTC is increasingly relevant amid global economic shifts and accelerating digital transformation. Since first adding Bitcoin to its balance sheet in 2020, MicroStrategy has consistently increased its holdings. As of January 26, 2025, the company owns approximately 471,107 BTC — acquired at an average cost of just $64,511 per coin — for a total investment of about $30.4 billion.

This long-term accumulation strategy underscores a growing trend: corporations treating Bitcoin not as a speculative asset but as a treasury reserve alternative.

Market Volatility: What Caused the Dip?

While institutional support helped stabilize prices, several factors contributed to the recent downturn:

1. Federal Reserve Policy Uncertainty

One of the primary drivers of market jitters was anticipation surrounding the U.S. Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision. Although most analysts expected the central bank to hold rates steady, uncertainty about future rate cuts and inflation control created risk-off sentiment across financial markets.

Traditional markets, particularly tech stocks, declined in late trading sessions, spilling over into crypto sentiment. Bitcoin often moves in tandem with growth assets during periods of macroeconomic stress. With investors wary of prolonged high interest rates reducing liquidity, BTC faced downward pressure despite strong fundamentals.

2. Profit-Taking After Price Rally

After climbing back toward $103,000 early on January 27, many traders opted to lock in gains. This wave of profit-taking came after weeks of upward momentum driven by ETF approvals and rising institutional adoption. When large investors sell even small portions of their holdings, it can trigger cascading liquidations in leveraged positions, amplifying short-term volatility.

3. Declining Trading Volume Amid Price Gains

Technical analysts have pointed to a concerning volume-price divergence: while BTC prices rose significantly from earlier lows, trading volume failed to follow suit. This suggests that the rally lacked broad market participation and may have been driven primarily by large players rather than widespread retail inflow.

Low volume during price increases often indicates weakening momentum and increases the likelihood of pullbacks or sideways consolidation. Experts warn that without stronger buying pressure and increased on-chain activity, sustained breakout above $105,000 could be challenging.

Supply Scarcity and the Halving Effect

Another critical factor underpinning Bitcoin’s long-term value proposition is its fixed supply mechanism. The most recent halving event — which occurred in 2024 — reduced block rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block. This programmed scarcity is designed to combat inflation and mimic precious metals like gold.

Historically, halving events have preceded major bull runs due to reduced new supply entering the market. However, this effect typically unfolds over months or even years. In the short term, price action remains heavily influenced by macroeconomic conditions and investor sentiment.

With fewer new coins being mined, any increase in demand — especially from institutional buyers — can exert significant upward pressure on prices. Yet, if demand stagnates or declines, even reduced supply may not prevent corrections.

👉 See how scarcity-driven demand could push BTC higher in 2025.

Price Outlook: Bullish Trend With Caution

Current technical analysis suggests that Bitcoin remains in an upward trend, supported by key moving averages and strong accumulation patterns on weekly charts. The rebound from $97,777 indicates solid support near the $97K–$98K zone.

However, resistance looms above $105,000 — a level that has rejected multiple attempts in recent weeks. A decisive close above this barrier would likely open the path toward $110,000 and beyond. Conversely, failure to maintain momentum could result in a retest of lower support levels.

Market experts suggest that sustainable growth will require both continued institutional inflows and stronger retail engagement. Regulatory clarity in major economies and broader adoption in payment infrastructure could serve as catalysts later this year.


Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: Why did Bitcoin drop below $100K recently?
A: The dip was caused by a combination of profit-taking after a strong rally, uncertainty around U.S. Federal Reserve policy decisions, and declining trading volume despite rising prices — indicating weak market conviction.

Q: Is MicroStrategy still buying Bitcoin?
A: Yes. Between January 21 and January 26, 2025, MicroStrategy purchased over 10,100 BTC for about $1.1 billion. The company continues to view Bitcoin as a long-term store of value.

Q: How does the halving affect Bitcoin’s price?
A: The halving reduces the number of new Bitcoins entering circulation every 10 minutes, increasing scarcity. Historically, this has led to bullish price movements over time, though short-term effects depend on demand.

Q: What is Bitcoin’s average purchase price for MicroStrategy?
A: As of January 26, 2025, MicroStrategy’s average acquisition cost is approximately $64,511 per BTC across its entire holding of over 471,000 coins.

Q: Could BTC reach $150K in 2025?
A: While possible, such a move would require strong catalysts — including favorable macroeconomic conditions, sustained institutional inflows, and increased adoption. Most analysts remain cautiously optimistic about new all-time highs this year.

Q: Why is volume important in BTC price analysis?
A: Rising prices with declining volume suggest lack of broad market participation and may indicate a weak rally prone to reversal. Strong rallies are typically confirmed by increasing trading volume.


Bitcoin’s return to $103K demonstrates its enduring appeal amid global economic flux. With core themes like institutional adoption, monetary policy impacts, supply scarcity, and market sentiment shaping its trajectory, BTC remains at the forefront of digital finance innovation.

👉 Stay ahead with real-time BTC analytics and smart trading tools.