Shiba Inu (SHIB) remains one of the most talked-about memecoins in the cryptocurrency space. Despite recent price volatility, key on-chain metrics and technical indicators suggest that SHIB could be gearing up for a strong long-term rebound. For investors watching the market closely, now might be a strategic moment to assess whether this digital asset is poised for growth.
This analysis dives into SHIB’s current technical setup, on-chain behavior of large holders, and critical valuation signals — all pointing toward a potential buying opportunity in 2025.
🔍 Technical Indicators Signal a Bullish Turn
One of the most telling signs of an upcoming reversal is visible on SHIB’s weekly chart through the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator. At the time of writing, the MACD line (blue) is positioned above the signal line (orange), forming a bullish crossover pattern.
👉 Discover how top traders use MACD to time their entries with precision.
This formation typically indicates strengthening upward momentum and is widely interpreted by technical analysts as a signal to open long positions or exit short ones. While short-term price action may remain choppy, the weekly timeframe suggests underlying strength building beneath the surface.
In addition to MACD, other momentum gauges support this optimistic outlook:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 60.77 — just below overbought territory, indicating healthy demand without excessive speculation.
- Money Flow Index (MFI): Sitting at 69.82, reflecting strong buying pressure and sustained investor interest.
When both RSI and MFI show elevated but not extreme values, it often signals accumulation rather than distribution — meaning investors are quietly buying rather than preparing to sell.
Further reinforcing this trend is the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) Line, which is trending upward. The A/D line measures the flow of money into or out of an asset over time. An uptrend here confirms that more capital is flowing into SHIB than exiting — a classic sign of institutional or whale-level accumulation.
🐳 Whales Stay Committed Despite Market Downturn
Even though SHIB experienced double-digit percentage declines over the past month, mid-tier SHIB whales — holders owning between 100,000 and 1 million tokens — have continued to accumulate.
According to data from Santiment, this group has grown by 4% over the last 30 days, now totaling approximately 299,000 active addresses. This kind of growth during a bearish phase demonstrates strong conviction among informed investors who may see current prices as undervalued.
Additionally, SHIB’s daily transaction profit-to-loss ratio stands at just 0.359. In practical terms, this means that for every transaction that ends in profit, nearly three others are being sold at a loss.
While this might sound negative at first glance, it actually highlights a crucial market dynamic: despite widespread losses among retail traders, larger players are absorbing the sell pressure. This kind of imbalance often precedes significant price recoveries, as weak hands exit and strong hands take control.
💡 MVRV Ratio Hints at Deep Undervaluation
Perhaps the most compelling argument for a future rally lies in SHIB’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio.
As reported by Santiment:
- The 30-day MVRV ratio is at -132%
- The 365-day MVRV ratio is even lower, at -147%
The MVRV ratio compares an asset’s current market price to the average price at which all existing coins were last moved (i.e., their “realized price”). When this ratio falls below zero, it indicates that the asset is trading below its average cost basis — in other words, the entire network is underwater.
Historically, such deep discounts have preceded major bull runs across various cryptocurrencies. For context, similar MVRV levels in Bitcoin and Ethereum have often marked generational buying opportunities.
With SHIB now sitting at multi-month lows relative to its realized value, many analysts believe we could be approaching a rare entry point before the next cycle heats up.
👉 Learn how smart money uses MVRV and other on-chain metrics to spot undervalued assets early.
✅ Key Takeaways: Why SHIB Could Rebound
Let’s summarize the core signals pointing toward a potential recovery:
- Bullish MACD crossover on the weekly chart suggests growing upward momentum.
- Strong accumulation signals from RSI, MFI, and A/D line indicate sustained demand.
- Whale confidence remains high, with mid-sized holders increasing their positions despite price drops.
- Extremely low MVRV ratios suggest SHIB is deeply undervalued compared to historical cost bases.
Together, these factors paint a picture of a memecoin that, while facing short-term headwinds, may be laying the foundation for a powerful comeback in the medium to long term.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: What is driving SHIB’s current price movement?
A: SHIB’s price is influenced by a mix of technical momentum, on-chain activity, and broader market sentiment. Currently, whale accumulation and strong on-chain metrics suggest that institutional-level investors see value at current levels, even if retail sentiment remains cautious.
Q: Is SHIB a good long-term investment?
A: While memecoins carry higher volatility and risk than traditional assets, SHIB has developed beyond its origins with real ecosystem growth — including its own blockchain (ShibaChain), decentralized exchange (ShibaSwap), and NFT initiatives. Combined with favorable on-chain data, it may offer speculative upside for risk-tolerant investors.
Q: How does the MVRV ratio help predict price reversals?
A: The MVRV ratio helps identify when an asset is significantly undervalued (trading below average purchase price) or overvalued. Ratios deeply in negative territory often precede major rallies, as seen historically in Bitcoin and Ethereum cycles.
Q: Should I buy SHIB now based on these indicators?
A: No single metric guarantees future performance. However, the combination of bullish technicals, whale accumulation, and extreme undervaluation makes a compelling case for further research. Always conduct your own due diligence and consider risk management before investing.
Q: Can SHIB reach $0.01 again?
A: Reaching $0.01 would require a massive market cap exceeding several trillion dollars — unlikely under current conditions. However, smaller percentage gains from today’s low base could still yield substantial returns for early entrants if broader crypto adoption continues.
Final Thoughts: A Strategic Opportunity Amid Volatility
Shiba Inu is far more than just a meme — it's a community-driven digital asset with growing infrastructure and resilient holder behavior. While short-term fluctuations are inevitable in any crypto market, the current confluence of technical strength, whale accumulation, and deep undervaluation paints an encouraging picture for 2025 and beyond.
Whether you're a long-term believer or a tactical trader, monitoring SHIB’s on-chain health and macro positioning could provide valuable insights into the next phase of the memecoin cycle.
👉 Start tracking SHIB’s real-time metrics and trade with confidence on a trusted platform.
Core Keywords: Shiba Inu price prediction, SHIB buy signal, MVRV ratio crypto, SHIB whale activity, memecoin investment 2025, on-chain analysis SHIB, cryptocurrency technical indicators